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Mainstream, Vol 63 No 20, May 17, 2025

How can India and Pakistan Avoid High Risk Situations in Future | Bharat Dogra

Saturday 17 May 2025, by Bharat Dogra

While just now there is a widespread feeling of relief that a much bigger potential disaster has been averted due to the clinching of an early ceasefire, thanks to the wisdom displayed at a crucial juncture by the leaders of India and Pakistan, this feeling of relief is also tinged by the serious concern that the two countries had come perilously close to a full-blown war. India and Pakistan should not only keep way from war, in addition they should also strive to avoid getting so close to war. If there is one issue on which there can be almost complete consensus among all those people who care for human life, it is that there should never be a war between two nuclear weapon powers.

Hence it is very important to look at the situations in which the two hostile countries have been going up the escalation ladder from time to time in the recent past to come very close to an all-out war, and then examine how and to what extent such potentially disastrous situations can be prevented from emerging again.

One pattern that has emerged is that there is a terrorist attack in India which is widely suspected to have Pakistani links and this is followed by India